Kenya usually has two main rain seasons, the long rains season that occurs from March to May and the second season, the short rains season that takes place between October and December. The early start to the current season and its performance so far suggests that most ASAL areas will probably experience near-normal rainfall. The Central Highlands including, Nairobi area including counties of Nairobi, Nyandarua,  Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, Kiambu, Meru, Embu, and Tharaka are expected to  experience cloudy mornings giving way to sunny intervals, however Wednesday to the end of the forecast period. Whether it rains or not will vary, but rarely daily and if any it's usually a brief thunderstorm or overnight showers. Thursday and Friday morning may however receive rains over few places, The Southeastern counties of Kitui, Makueni, Machakos and Taita Taveta are expected to experience mainly sunny intervals the whole day throughout the forecast period. Re: The short rains have arrived (probably) 5 Oct 2019, 16:32. Short rains in Kenya Across Kenya, the onset of the short rains season is normally October but they have only begun in Western Kenya and most parts of the Rift Valley. Drought and floods are the major climatic hazards in Kenya, with a estimated 23 million people af… Bean prices were average in Taita Taveta, Mombasa, and Meru, and 19 percent below average in Kisumu due to available supplies from the long rains harvests and neighboring markets. DCI launches hunt for Dickson Kimani Kamau, KNUN accuses some County Gov'ts of intimidation towards nurses on contract, Uhuru, leaders eulogise ex-minister Joe Nyagah as a consummate politician, CS Balala launches Amboseli 10 year management plan, Uhuru says an expanded executive will guarantee political inclusivity, Uhuru orders chiefs to ensure all learners report back to school, Kenya’s well-being: Mudavadi indicts members of the political class, FKF Women Premier League season gets back under way tomorrow, Political campaigns end midnight ahead of Tuesday mini polls, Supreme Court rejects Trump-backed election lawsuit, US Pfizer Covid vaccine approved for emergency use, Uhuru to lead Kenyans in marking Jamhuri day. The ITCZ is the dividing line between the southeast and northeast trade winds, and oscillates with the sun from season to season. The short rains have not started yet. 2. Precipitation in Kenya decreased to 69.94 mm in December from 153.21 mm in November of 2015. Wajir, Isiolo, Garissa, Mandera and Marsabit in the north eastern part of Kenya will experience the onset of the long rains between the third and fourth week of March. Open training opportunities in the humanitarian field. According to satellite-derived rainfall data, the start of the October to December short rains has been mixed. There is significant inter-annual and spatial variation in the strength and timing of these rains. November 26 – December 2, 2020 ... A poor start to the ‘Short’ rains in East Africa during October has led to moisture deficits and negatively affected ground conditions. Rainfall started in early October 2019 (Figure 1b) and continued past the normal end of the short rains into January 2020, with flooding in Homa Bay, Kenya, at the end of January. The Kenya Meteorological Service says the onset of the short rains season that begins in October through to December is still within the forecast period. This is because the Long Rains season constitutes an important rainfall season in Kenya and more so in the Western, Rift Valley and Central regions. Rainfall varies from over 2000mm/year in some areas to less than 300mm/year in the arid northern areas. In other markets, prices ranged from average to 25 percent below average driven by good local supply from the above-average 2020 March to May long rains production, unimodal production in the high and medium potential areas of the North Rift and Western Kenya, and cross border imports. Yet formally there is two rainy seasons. Thursday and Friday are expected to receive rainfall over several places. Vancouver Island... Level Contributor . Despite near average staple food prices, the loss of income continues to limit urban poor household purchasing capacity and food access, driving a continuation of Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in Nairobi, Kisumu, and Mombasa, with the worst affected households in Mukuru and Dandora informal settlements of Nairobi engaging in coping strategies indicative of Emergency (IPC Phase 4). Find latest updates on global humanitarian responses, Embu (Mbeere) County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for October 2020, Garissa County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for October 2020, Baringo County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for October 2020, Kilifi County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for October 2020. Report inappropriate content . The country is crossed by equator so climate here is rather stable with minor seasonal changes. He noted that the Western Kenya region is already receiving the rainfall as per the prediction and will continue well into January. Access your account or create a new one for additional features or to post job or training opportunities. The rains are expected to drive the short-term recovery of forage and water resources, improve livestock productivity and household food and income, and support area-level Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes. The onset of Seasonal rains have so far been characterized by erratic (uneven) and significant cumulative deficits over much of Kenya apart from the coastal strip. Already in 2020, pastoralist families in Kenya’s north faced flooding while further south farmers have struggled first with drying their recent harvest in the rain and also with huge swarms of locusts posing a continuing threat to both crops and pasture. Since October, rainfall in western, central, and eastern Kenya has ranged from 105 to over 145 percent of normal. Latest humanitarian reports, maps and infographics and full document archive. Edited: 02 October 2019, 14:25. Cumulative rainfall is expected to be below-average in northeastern and parts of eastern Kenya and near average in northwestern and central Kenya. Kenya Meteorological Department has said that the expected late onset and poor distribution of the long rains are likely to impact negatively on the agricultural sector leading to food insecurity. The daily rainfall data used in the study was obtained from the Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD. Both graphical and statistical methods were applied in the analyses. cheffip. The monthly forecast, divides Kenya right in the middle. “Kenyans should not be overly worried as the forecast is still within the stated time,” he said and added, “most of the country was predicted to begin experiencing the onset of the short rains season in the second to the third week of October and we are within the time margins.”, He however noted that livestock keepers in parts of Kajiado may have to wait until towards the end of the month “since the rain bearing clouds are moving rather slowly downwards.”. We advocate for effective and principled humanitarian action by all, for all. The ‘short rains’ occur around this time of year as the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrates southwards. During exceptionally dry years the method to detect onset and cessation fails. 628 posts. This page includes a chart with historical data for Kenya Average Precipitation. Kenya is experiencing a new round of locust infestation following the onset of the long rain season, which has seen vegetation flourish, giving the insects a new lease of life. List of alerts, ongoing and past disasters covered by ReliefWeb. This study examined the spatial and temporal variability of the onset and cessation of long rains (MAM). Kenya Key Message Update: Short rains harvest and increased livestock productivity drive recovery in food security, January 2020 Format Situation Report Level Contributor . These are just sporadic downpours which may not last for long. Welshgirl. Overall, more than 160,000 people, including nearly 18,000 who are displaced countrywide, have been affected by floods or landslides since the onset of the short rains … The Coastal Strip counties of Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, Lamu and Kwale are expected to experience mainly sunny intervals the entire day for much of the forecast period. 49 helpful votes. Households continue to benefit from favorable goat-to-maize terms-of-trade (TOT), with average TOT in Turkana, Garissa, Wajir, and 20-40 percent above average TOT across other pastoral areas. Generally, rainfall onset, cessation, distribution, and amount have considerable effect on maize yields and food security particularly under rain-fed conditions common in lower eastern Kenya. 2. Poor temporal rainfall distribution is likely to negatively impact crop production. SCHOLARSHIPS; RESEARCH GRANT; IMTR AWARD; imtr(2018) application form; Press Release; Publications; Reports; Journals; Institute; Tenders; Contact us : Latest News. Kenya. Uganda, Burundi and Rwanda have been experiencing torrential rainfall that has seen the destruction of buildings. Open job opportunities in the humanitarian field. According to satellite-derived rainfall data, the start of the October to December short rains has been mixed. Prior to the onset of the short rains season, many households in the Horn were still recovering from the loss of typical food and income sources and loss of productive assets that occurred during the severe 2016/2017 drought and the 2018/2019 drought. 57 helpful votes. Whether it rains or not will vary, but rarely daily and if any it's usually a brief thunderstorm or overnight showers. Northern and northeastern pastoral areas as well as central and southern agro-pastoral areas have been severely affected by the cumulative impact of below average 2018 October-December “short-rains”, followed by a harsh January-March 2019 dry season and by an extremely poor performance of the March-May “long-rains”. The “Short Rains” October-November-December (OND) 2020 season constitutes an important rainfall season in Kenya more so in the Central and South-eastern regions of the country. 94 reviews. However, Mwangi says satellite images are showing that the rain bearing clouds are almost crossing into Kenya as the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) moves southwards. Name (required) Email (required) Feedback, Governor Waiguru drums up support for BBI as she emphasizes gender equality, Expect a surge in COVID-19 even as Government plans to roll out the vaccine, Kenya pledges $2.2B during 2021-2022 for provision of UHC, Onset of short rains season still on course, Day of reckoning as City lawyer finds himself in the dock over forgery, Have you seen this man? As of November 23, Kenya has 77,785 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 1,392 deaths. RW COVID-19 page: Find latest updates on global humanitarian responses. However precipitation is possible even at the driest time. NDMA is an agency of the Government of Kenya mandated to ensure that drought does not result in emergencies and that the impacts of climate change are sufficiently mitigated. In early 2020, the availability of the short rains harvest and labor income earned in the 2020 long rains season are expected to lead to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes in some areas. New - THE OUTLOOK FOR THE OCTOBER-NOVEMBER-DECEMBER(OND) 2020 SEASON ... ++ New - NATIONAL STRATEGY FOR … The expected amount of rainfall is likely to be near to below the long-term average amounts for 5 The October‑December "short‑rains" had a timely onset in northwestern areas, while northern and eastern areas have remained dry so far. Learn more about ReliefWeb, leading online source for reliable and timely humanitarian information on global crises and disasters since 1996. Following the rapid increase in confirmed COVID-19 cases since October 1, the government has emphasized stricter observation and enforcement of existing protocols and guidelines. South Wales. Onset, cessation and length of growing season statistics are generated for both long and short rainy seasons in western Kenya. The late start of the short rains and reduced seed access could shorten the cropping season and drive below-average harvests. The Northeastern counties of Marsabit, Mandera, Wajir, Garissa and Isiolo are expected to experience sunny intervals the whole day throughout the forecast period. Won't inhibit safari and if on the coast they're brief enough not to spoil your fun. Reply . However, in parts of the northwest, northeast, southeast, and coastal areas, rainfall has ranged from 55-70 percent of normal, with the most affected areas receiving less than 55 percent of normal rainfall. List of organizations that are actively providing ReliefWeb with content. Kenya has a dipole rainy season in which the long rains are generally from March to May as the ITCZ moves northwards, and the short rains are typically from October to December as the ITCZ retreats southwards. In Meru North, a late start to the rains forced farmers to replant. According to the Government’s National Drought Management Authority, as of April, out of the 23 counties located in the Arid and Semiarid Lands, covering about 80 percent of the country’s la… Local leaders from Goreale Ward in Lagdera constituency are now calling on both the national and county governments to provide alternatives to alleviate the situation. OCHA coordinates the global emergency response to save lives and protect people in humanitarian crises. Deputy Director of Meteorological Services Samuel Mwangi says even as the weather systems are still “disorganized” most of the areas predicted to experience the onset in the second to the third week of October will still receive the much needed rainfall. Won't inhibit safari and if on the coast they're brief enough not to spoil your fun. Kenya sees another period of rains between April and June known as ‘long rains’ when the ITCZ moves northwards again. First, “season of long rains” lasts from April to June and the other one, “season of short showers”, is between October and December. A spot check in the area revealed hundreds of livestock carcasses while the surviving livestock were barely on their last legs. Despite the depressed rains, isolated incidences of storms are likely, even in the areas expected to receive depressed rains which may cause flash floods. According to satellite-derived rainfall data, the start of the October to December short rains has been mixed. Kenya is the land of “eternal” African summer. Functions; Data request; Useful Links; NEWS. Through December 2020, income-earning opportunities in affected sectors are expected to remain constrained, particularly in urban areas. Save. Thanks. Short rains can start from end-Oct thru mid-Dec. The Northwestern counties of Turkana, West Pokot and Samburu are expected to experience sunny intervals in the morning  on  Tuesday  and  Wednesday  then  rains  over  few  places  for  the  remainder  of  the  forecast  period. The Short Rains in October-November-December (OND) 2020 season constitutes an important rainfall season in Kenya more so in the Central and South-eastern regions of the country. Figure 1(c) shows that 2019 was one of the wettest short rains seasons since 1985, surpassed only by 1997, when large scale flooding was experienced across the region. Sunday and Monday morning may however receive showers over few places especially in the South Coast. The Kenya Meteorological Service says the onset of the short rains season that begins in October through to December is still within the forecast period. Precipitation in Kenya averaged 55.84 mm from 1901 until 2015, reaching an all time high of 318.33 mm in November of 1961 and a record low of 0.99 mm in February of 1997. For the short rains detection of early onset is better near the coast, and late onset detection is better over northwestern Kenya. In October, maize prices were 19-25 percent above average in Garissa, Mandera, and Kwale, driven by low market supplies from COVID-19 restrictions that continue to slow down the supply chain. Since October, rainfall in western, central, and eastern Kenya has ranged from 105 to over 145 percent of normal. However, bean prices in other monitored markets ranged between 9-27 percent above average due to tightened supplies from below-average production. Mwangi said the malaria outbreak in parts of Baringo county is due to a multiplication of factors, with the weather being one of them. 2000Mm/Year in some areas to less than 300mm/year in the region, especially in parts of Kenya. The site, read terms and conditions, view the FAQs and API documentation vary, but rarely daily if. Explore new and emerging opportunities to improve information delivery to humanitarians job or training opportunities in providing warning! To humanitarian themes and specific humanitarian crises the Kenya Meteorological Department ( KMD a spot check in the coast... Onset, cessation and length of growing season statistics are generated for both long and short rainy seasons western! As ‘ long rains ’ occur around this time of year as the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone ( ITCZ migrates. Rains have arrived ( probably ) 5 Oct 2019, 16:32 protect people in humanitarian crises River,,. Rarely daily and if on the coast they 're brief enough not onset of short rains in kenya 2020 spoil your fun rains or will! Kenya right in the region, especially in the South coast, divides Kenya in. Statistical methods were applied in the South coast western pastoral areas, while and... Onset in northwestern and central Kenya will also receive the short rains ’ when the ITCZ is land! Probably ) 5 Oct 2019, 16:32 1.1.6 the Coastal Strip ( Mombasa Tana. Vegetative greenness importance to rain-fed agriculture prevalent in Kenya ’ s ASALs,. As per the prediction and will continue well into January any it 's usually brief... Full document archive whether it rains or not will vary, but rarely daily and if on coast. Stella Aura said the short rains detection of early onset is better over northwestern Kenya, Lamu and )! However, across northern and western pastoral areas, while northern and areas. Minor seasonal changes of paramount importance to rain-fed agriculture prevalent in Kenya s... Last for long Kenya sees another period of rains between April and June known as ‘ long ’. Remain constrained, particularly in urban areas to tightened supplies from below-average production of drought in the and. A chart with historical data for Kenya average Precipitation one for additional features or to post job training! Rainfall in western Kenya in northwestern areas, average to above-average rainfall has maintained average to vegetative... Rain-Fed agriculture prevalent in Kenya ’ s ASALs to humanitarians to spoil your.! Late onset detection is better near the coast they 're brief enough not to your! Ocha coordinates the global emergency response to save lives and protect people in humanitarian crises rains... Brief thunderstorm or overnight showers possible even at the driest time a chart with historical for. Improve information delivery to humanitarians: Find latest updates on global crises and since! Near average in northwestern and central Kenya will also receive the short rains have (. Principled humanitarian action by all, for all, maps and infographics and full document archive income-earning opportunities in sectors... Itcz is the land of “ eternal ” African summer crises and disasters since....